Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 4.144626 4.446387 4.769857 5.144210 5.567844 6.035163 6.593551
2025-08-10 3.601614 4.007361 4.469302 5.040920 5.739061 6.577561 7.682743
2025-08-17 3.245770 3.694229 4.224668 4.910686 5.793852 6.922211 8.526695
2025-08-24 3.010853 3.486638 4.066265 4.842715 5.886546 7.292631 9.433403
2025-08-31 2.873290 3.379411 4.012756 4.889372 6.117779 7.861746 10.712907
2025-09-07 2.745829 3.271079 3.943200 4.899715 6.289517 8.358478 11.976958
2025-09-14 2.574351 3.092546 3.765460 4.741095 6.194195 8.430665 12.539719
2025-09-21 2.445591 2.961434 3.640827 4.643875 6.174861 8.612055 13.327256
2025-09-28 2.346616 2.863620 3.553970 4.591558 6.214600 8.889204 14.355499
2025-10-05 2.274341 2.797351 3.505628 4.590069 6.330904 9.308826 15.782209
2025-10-12 2.234455 2.772612 3.513064 4.671020 6.586742 10.013591 18.061368
2025-10-19 2.193333 2.743459 3.511446 4.736276 6.821228 10.716669 20.620030
2025-10-26 2.131110 2.683833 3.465085 4.732438 6.944681 11.244185 23.034291
2025-11-02 2.051295 2.596030 3.372949 4.649058 6.918557 11.463507 24.699940
2025-11-09 1.969460 2.501914 3.266622 4.534922 6.823966 11.519615 25.897710
2025-11-16 1.907248 2.433701 3.196031 4.475066 6.824692 11.788549 27.987624
2025-11-23 1.874233 2.406533 3.186289 4.516177 7.022255 12.551415 32.476547
2025-11-30 1.835774 2.369610 3.159331 4.525287 7.157142 13.193923 37.111069
2025-12-07 1.765343 2.282754 3.050722 4.385428 6.976788 13.002051 37.714647
2025-12-14 1.711005 2.218319 2.975015 4.299540 6.900714 13.074644 39.802666
2025-12-21 1.668621 2.170407 2.923430 4.253266 6.902630 13.358148 43.385663
2025-12-28 1.638307 2.139676 2.897865 4.251949 6.999670 13.928338 49.521655
2026-01-04 1.624903 2.134034 2.912112 4.323533 7.262636 15.050525 61.831133